8
When chances come
The distribution over time stayed identical from S74 to S81: chances are split 50/50 between the halves, peaking between 30' and 39'.
Chances in 5-minute blocks (S74–81)
Normal events vs special events (15' blocks)
Normal eventsSpecial events
- Special events fall more in the 1st half (56%). Until about 40' they are slightly more frequent than normal events.
- The single most frequent minute is 89' (2.6% of normal events). In stoppage time events go up to 93'.
Extra time: minute by minute
59% of events fall in the first 15', peaking between 97' and 100'.
⚠ Outdated data
An old study based only on CHPP data showed "a hump between 15' and 30' and a jump in the last minute". The pattern changed around S75 and again around S77. The S74–81 distribution above is the valid one.